How Insurgencies End

How Insurgencies End

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RAND studied 89 modern insurgency cases to test conventional understanding about how insurgencies end. Findings relevant to policymakers and analysts include that modern insurgencies last about ten years; withdrawal of state support cripples insurgencies; civil defense forces are useful for both sides; pseudodemocracies fare poorly against insurgents; and governments win more often in the long run.Since all doctrinal publications have many authors and liberally refera€”typically without citationa€”to existing texts, we ... U.S. COIN theory is neatly summarized in the Armya€“Marine Corps counterinsurgency manual, field manual (FM) 3-24.

Title:How Insurgencies End
Author: Ben Connable, Martin C. Libicki
Publisher:Rand Corporation - 2010-04-21

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